NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC DAL
Points 121.2 116.7
Total Points   237.9
Points From 2-Pointers 61.8 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 45.2
Points From Free Throws 18.8 18.8
Shooting OKC DAL
Field Goals Made 44.4 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 89.0
Field Goal % 49.3% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 48.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 15.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 40.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 18.8 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 24.8
Free Throw % 82.8% 75.9%
Ball Control OKC DAL
Rebounds 48.8 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.5 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.1
Turnovers 11.4 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.6
Steals 7.1 5.9
Fouls 18.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC DAL
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.1 103.5
% of Possessions with OKC DAL
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 34.2%
Player Fouled 16.8% 18.0%
Turnover 11.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC DAL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 23.9%