NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC IND
Points 124.2 119.2
Total Points   243.4
Points From 2-Pointers 70.6 61.3
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 40.2
Points From Free Throws 21.9 17.7
Shooting OKC IND
Field Goals Made 45.9 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 92.1
Field Goal % 51.6% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 35.3 30.6
2 Pointers Attempted 60.9 56.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 36.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 21.9 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 26.6 22.7
Free Throw % 82.2% 78.0%
Ball Control OKC IND
Rebounds 48.0 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.6
Turnovers 12.0 13.1
Blocked Shots 6.6 5.8
Steals 6.7 6.7
Fouls 16.8 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC IND
Total Possessions 105.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 104.9
% of Possessions with OKC IND
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 16.0%
Turnover 11.3% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC IND
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 25.1%