NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC DET
Points 124.7 106.9
Total Points   231.6
Points From 2-Pointers 68.0 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 36.8 35.7
Points From Free Throws 19.9 18.4
Shooting OKC DET
Field Goals Made 46.2 38.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 88.1
Field Goal % 52.7% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 34.0 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.4 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 31.5 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 19.9 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 23.5
Free Throw % 82.1% 78.3%
Ball Control OKC DET
Rebounds 47.6 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 13.0
Turnovers 11.1 15.4
Blocked Shots 7.6 4.4
Steals 8.9 6.0
Fouls 15.7 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC DET
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.6 101.5
% of Possessions with OKC DET
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.1% 15.1%
Turnover 10.7% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC DET
Shot Blocked 5.1% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 25.1%