NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC DET
Points 124.9 106.5
Total Points   231.4
Points From 2-Pointers 68.1 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 36.8 35.4
Points From Free Throws 20.0 18.4
Shooting OKC DET
Field Goals Made 46.3 38.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 87.9
Field Goal % 52.8% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 34.0 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.4 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 60.4% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.4 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 20.0 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 23.5
Free Throw % 82.2% 78.3%
Ball Control OKC DET
Rebounds 47.5 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.9
Turnovers 11.0 15.4
Blocked Shots 7.5 4.4
Steals 8.9 5.9
Fouls 15.7 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC DET
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 101.3
% of Possessions with OKC DET
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 28.2%
Player Fouled 18.2% 15.1%
Turnover 10.6% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC DET
Shot Blocked 5.1% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 25.0%