NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC TOR
Points 104.5 114.9
Total Points   219.4
Points From 2-Pointers 47.1 53.4
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 45.6
Points From Free Throws 17.8 15.9
Shooting OKC TOR
Field Goals Made 36.8 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 91.4
Field Goal % 43.8% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.6 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 46.9 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 15.2
3 Pointers Attempted 37.0 41.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 17.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 19.8
Free Throw % 72.4% 80.7%
Ball Control OKC TOR
Rebounds 52.4 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 40.5 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.6
Turnovers 17.4 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 6.2
Steals 5.7 9.5
Fouls 16.5 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC TOR
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 102.8
% of Possessions with OKC TOR
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 36.1%
Player Fouled 17.3% 15.9%
Turnover 16.7% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC TOR
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 20.7%