NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC TOR
Points 125.1 110.2
Total Points   235.4
Points From 2-Pointers 67.5 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 41.0 36.9
Points From Free Throws 16.7 17.4
Shooting OKC TOR
Field Goals Made 47.4 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 90.3
Field Goal % 52.0% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 33.8 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 16.7 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 23.0
Free Throw % 82.8% 75.8%
Ball Control OKC TOR
Rebounds 49.5 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 13.6
Turnovers 12.0 14.2
Blocked Shots 7.1 4.6
Steals 7.1 6.8
Fouls 16.3 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC TOR
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 103.4
% of Possessions with OKC TOR
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 29.1%
Player Fouled 16.4% 15.6%
Turnover 11.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC TOR
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 25.9%