NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC TOR
Points 119.9 103.9
Total Points   223.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.9 52.0
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 33.6
Points From Free Throws 20.3 18.3
Shooting OKC TOR
Field Goals Made 43.2 37.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.2 85.6
Field Goal % 47.9% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 51.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 38.4 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 20.3 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 24.5
Free Throw % 82.2% 74.6%
Ball Control OKC TOR
Rebounds 50.7 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 13.6
Turnovers 11.1 16.3
Blocked Shots 6.4 4.2
Steals 10.4 5.9
Fouls 17.8 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC TOR
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 100.2
% of Possessions with OKC TOR
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 28.4%
Player Fouled 18.4% 17.3%
Turnover 10.8% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC TOR
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 26.5%