NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC PHO
Points 117.1 113.3
Total Points   230.4
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 53.8
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 39.6
Points From Free Throws 17.2 19.9
Shooting OKC PHO
Field Goals Made 43.2 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.9 85.6
Field Goal % 47.5% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 51.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 17.2 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.7
Free Throw % 82.2% 80.7%
Ball Control OKC PHO
Rebounds 45.4 51.3
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 12.6
Turnovers 10.9 15.5
Blocked Shots 5.9 5.4
Steals 8.6 6.5
Fouls 17.4 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC PHO
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 100.1
% of Possessions with OKC PHO
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 29.1%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.9%
Turnover 10.6% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC PHO
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 26.5%