NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC PHO
Points 116.7 112.5
Total Points   229.2
Points From 2-Pointers 59.5 53.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.9 39.1
Points From Free Throws 17.3 19.6
Shooting OKC PHO
Field Goals Made 43.1 39.9
Field Goals Attempted 90.7 85.4
Field Goal % 47.5% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 17.3 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.3
Free Throw % 82.1% 80.7%
Ball Control OKC PHO
Rebounds 45.5 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 12.6
Turnovers 11.0 15.5
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.4
Steals 8.6 6.5
Fouls 17.4 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC PHO
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 99.9
% of Possessions with OKC PHO
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 29.0%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.9%
Turnover 10.7% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC PHO
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 26.5%