NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC POR
Points 123.2 104.9
Total Points   228.2
Points From 2-Pointers 67.5 51.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 36.1
Points From Free Throws 20.1 17.7
Shooting OKC POR
Field Goals Made 45.6 37.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 90.3
Field Goal % 53.0% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 33.7 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 53.9 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 62.6% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 34.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 20.1 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 22.3
Free Throw % 82.2% 79.4%
Ball Control OKC POR
Rebounds 47.8 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 16.1
Turnovers 12.1 15.5
Blocked Shots 7.9 4.3
Steals 8.9 6.6
Fouls 15.8 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC POR
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 103.4
% of Possessions with OKC POR
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.3% 15.4%
Turnover 11.8% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC POR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 29.7%