NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC GS
Points 120.2 114.5
Total Points   234.7
Points From 2-Pointers 60.5 52.0
Points From 3-Pointers 41.7 46.0
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.5
Shooting OKC GS
Field Goals Made 44.2 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 91.4
Field Goal % 48.9% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 51.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 15.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 40.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 21.2
Free Throw % 82.2% 77.7%
Ball Control OKC GS
Rebounds 47.1 52.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 15.1
Turnovers 11.1 14.6
Blocked Shots 6.3 4.7
Steals 7.6 6.0
Fouls 15.6 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC GS
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 104.0
% of Possessions with OKC GS
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 33.3%
Player Fouled 17.1% 15.1%
Turnover 10.7% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC GS
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 29.0%