NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC GS
Points 120.0 114.8
Total Points   234.8
Points From 2-Pointers 60.4 52.0
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 46.3
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.5
Shooting OKC GS
Field Goals Made 44.1 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 91.6
Field Goal % 48.8% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 30.2 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.3 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 15.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 40.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 21.3
Free Throw % 82.1% 77.7%
Ball Control OKC GS
Rebounds 47.3 52.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 15.2
Turnovers 11.1 14.5
Blocked Shots 6.3 4.7
Steals 7.7 6.1
Fouls 15.6 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC GS
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 104.2
% of Possessions with OKC GS
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 33.4%
Player Fouled 17.0% 15.0%
Turnover 10.7% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC GS
Shot Blocked 5.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 29.1%