NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC WAS
Points 128.1 110.6
Total Points   238.7
Points From 2-Pointers 72.1 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 39.1
Points From Free Throws 19.8 16.7
Shooting OKC WAS
Field Goals Made 48.1 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 91.3
Field Goal % 52.6% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 36.0 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 59.4 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 60.7% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.0 36.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 19.8 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 21.9
Free Throw % 82.8% 76.3%
Ball Control OKC WAS
Rebounds 51.8 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 41.0 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 11.9
Turnovers 11.8 14.6
Blocked Shots 7.7 4.8
Steals 7.7 6.5
Fouls 16.2 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC WAS
Total Possessions 106.0
Effective Scoring Chances 105.1 103.3
% of Possessions with OKC WAS
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 30.5%
Player Fouled 17.4% 15.3%
Turnover 11.1% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC WAS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 22.5%