NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN PHI
Points 111.4 104.1
Total Points   215.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 52.8
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 30.8
Points From Free Throws 19.9 20.5
Shooting MIN PHI
Field Goals Made 39.8 36.7
Field Goals Attempted 82.5 87.2
Field Goal % 48.2% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 51.1 57.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.4 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 19.9 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 25.1
Free Throw % 77.4% 81.7%
Ball Control MIN PHI
Rebounds 51.2 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.5
Turnovers 13.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 7.1 5.6
Steals 5.7 7.5
Fouls 16.9 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN PHI
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 101.0
% of Possessions with MIN PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 26.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 17.0%
Turnover 13.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN PHI
Shot Blocked 6.6% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 23.9%