NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN MIL
Points 113.0 109.0
Total Points   222.1
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 51.6
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 38.2
Points From Free Throws 18.2 19.3
Shooting MIN MIL
Field Goals Made 41.2 38.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.5 84.9
Field Goal % 47.6% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 50.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 34.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 18.2 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 24.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.0%
Ball Control MIN MIL
Rebounds 49.1 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.1
Turnovers 11.3 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.9
Steals 6.8 6.3
Fouls 17.7 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN MIL
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 99.1
% of Possessions with MIN MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 30.5%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.5%
Turnover 11.2% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN MIL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 20.6%