NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN MIL
Points 112.9 109.5
Total Points   222.4
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 51.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 38.3
Points From Free Throws 18.0 19.4
Shooting MIN MIL
Field Goals Made 41.1 38.7
Field Goals Attempted 86.7 85.2
Field Goal % 47.4% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 25.9
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 18.0 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 25.1
Free Throw % 77.2% 77.3%
Ball Control MIN MIL
Rebounds 49.1 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.4
Turnovers 11.4 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.0
Steals 6.9 6.3
Fouls 17.7 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN MIL
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 99.6
% of Possessions with MIN MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 30.5%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.5%
Turnover 11.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN MIL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 21.1%