NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN CHI
Points 113.5 104.9
Total Points   218.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.4 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 42.9 31.5
Points From Free Throws 18.2 18.1
Shooting MIN CHI
Field Goals Made 40.5 38.1
Field Goals Attempted 84.1 87.9
Field Goal % 48.2% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 46.9 57.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 37.2 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 18.2 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 22.6
Free Throw % 77.4% 80.1%
Ball Control MIN CHI
Rebounds 50.5 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 39.6 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 12.0
Turnovers 13.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.4
Steals 6.3 7.0
Fouls 17.4 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN CHI
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 97.9 100.7
% of Possessions with MIN CHI
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 26.4%
Player Fouled 18.2% 17.4%
Turnover 13.0% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN CHI
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 23.2%