NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN CHA
Points 115.3 99.4
Total Points   214.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 50.5
Points From 3-Pointers 40.2 33.5
Points From Free Throws 17.1 15.4
Shooting MIN CHA
Field Goals Made 42.4 36.4
Field Goals Attempted 83.5 84.4
Field Goal % 50.7% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 25.2
2 Pointers Attempted 49.4 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 31.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 17.1 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 19.5
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.9%
Ball Control MIN CHA
Rebounds 50.7 42.7
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 33.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.6
Turnovers 13.1 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.6
Steals 6.9 6.5
Fouls 16.3 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN CHA
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 96.8 95.5
% of Possessions with MIN CHA
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 28.7%
Player Fouled 17.6% 16.4%
Turnover 13.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN CHA
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 19.4%