NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN CHA
Points 115.0 98.3
Total Points   213.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 51.2
Points From 3-Pointers 40.7 32.0
Points From Free Throws 16.9 15.1
Shooting MIN CHA
Field Goals Made 42.3 36.3
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 85.9
Field Goal % 50.4% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 16.9 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 19.2
Free Throw % 77.4% 78.3%
Ball Control MIN CHA
Rebounds 51.3 44.0
Rebounds - Defensive 40.7 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.5
Turnovers 13.2 13.2
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.9
Steals 6.7 6.4
Fouls 15.9 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN CHA
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 96.9 96.7
% of Possessions with MIN CHA
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 27.9%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.0%
Turnover 13.2% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN CHA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 20.5%