NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN UTA
Points 120.8 107.8
Total Points   228.7
Points From 2-Pointers 58.5 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 44.2 34.9
Points From Free Throws 18.1 20.3
Shooting MIN UTA
Field Goals Made 44.0 38.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 86.9
Field Goal % 50.2% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 41.8% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 18.1 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 24.2
Free Throw % 77.2% 83.7%
Ball Control MIN UTA
Rebounds 47.7 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 13.5
Turnovers 11.5 14.6
Blocked Shots 7.6 4.6
Steals 8.1 5.9
Fouls 17.2 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN UTA
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 100.6
% of Possessions with MIN UTA
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 28.0%
Player Fouled 17.7% 16.9%
Turnover 11.3% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN UTA
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 26.9%