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Minnesota at Sacramento
Wed Apr 21, 2021
10:00pm ET
Sacramento, CA
Minnesota at Sacramento: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Sacramento by 3, Total Points: 241
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-40-2 | 43-39-1 | |
| vs Division | 10-4-2 | 12-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 25-25-2 | 27-25-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 18-21-2 | 19-23-0 | |
| Away | 22-19-0 | 24-16-1 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
Sacramento Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Utah | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 1 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Houston | -2.0 | L by 25 | -27.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Portland | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Cleveland | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 36 | -38.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | New Orleans | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 13 | +17.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Golden State | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Denver | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 12/08 | Away | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Washington | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Boston | -4.0 | L by 25 | -29.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Phoenix | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Portland | -9.0 | L by 17 | -26.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 31 | +32.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Charlotte | -15.0 | L by 7 | -22.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 33 | -37.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 21 | +10.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 25 | +16.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +1.0 | L by 19 | -18.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Indiana | -8.5 | L by 5 | -13.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Atlanta | -8.5 | W by 15 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Golden State | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Dallas | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Memphis | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Miami | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chicago | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | L by 26 | -21.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | L by 13 | -26.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Denver | -3.0 | W by 29 | +26.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +4.0 | W by 16 | +20.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | L by 11 | -18.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | L by 21 | -12.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Minnesota | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Chicago | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | San Antonio | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Houston | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 03/12 | Home | Milwaukee | -1.5 | W by 35 | +33.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | LA Lakers | +2.5 | W by 13 | +15.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | New York | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 03/18 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | W by 10 | -1.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Toronto | -11.0 | W by 34 | +23.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | L by 7 | -18.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Orlando | +3.0 | W by 2 | +5.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 36 | -37.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Utah | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | LA Clippers | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 04/04 | Away | New York | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Boston | +9.0 | L by 1 | +8.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.5 | W by 30 | +19.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Okla City | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 04/11 | Home | New Orleans | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Portland | -17.5 | W by 39 | +21.5 |
| 04/16 | Home | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 24 | +27.0 |
| SAC -3.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 1057 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Sacramento won the game 575 times (54.4%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 482 times (45.6%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 529-515-13 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 410 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 210-191-9 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 04/21 10:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 04/21 09:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 09:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 04/21 09:46 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 09:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 04/21 09:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 04/21 09:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 09:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 04/21 09:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 08:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 08:22 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 06:44 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 06:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 04/21 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 04/21 05:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 05:01 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 04:53 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 04:40 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 04:22 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 04:08 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 03:43 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 03:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 03:16 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 02:31 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 01:19 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 12:53 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 12:47 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 12:34 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 12:13 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 12:04 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 11:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 04/21 11:52 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 11:46 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 04/21 11:28 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 04/21 10:46 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 04/21 10:34 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 04/21 10:28 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 10:01 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/21 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 04/21 09:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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