NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN SAC
Points 112.2 107.9
Total Points   220.1
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 53.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 38.3
Points From Free Throws 19.7 16.6
Shooting MIN SAC
Field Goals Made 39.9 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 82.0 88.0
Field Goal % 48.7% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 26.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.5 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.5 35.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.3% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 19.7 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 22.2
Free Throw % 77.6% 74.6%
Ball Control MIN SAC
Rebounds 48.5 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 12.3
Turnovers 13.5 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.7
Steals 7.1 7.4
Fouls 17.0 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN SAC
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 97.0 101.1
% of Possessions with MIN SAC
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 30.6%
Player Fouled 19.6% 16.8%
Turnover 13.3% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN SAC
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 23.9%