NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN DEN
Points 108.8 107.0
Total Points   215.9
Points From 2-Pointers 56.9 59.0
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 31.6
Points From Free Throws 19.0 16.4
Shooting MIN DEN
Field Goals Made 39.4 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 87.1
Field Goal % 46.7% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 19.0 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 21.4
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.8%
Ball Control MIN DEN
Rebounds 48.3 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 12.1
Turnovers 11.6 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.7
Steals 6.6 6.5
Fouls 16.7 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN DEN
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.6 99.4
% of Possessions with MIN DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 25.4%
Player Fouled 18.0% 16.8%
Turnover 11.7% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN DEN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 24.5%