NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN DEN
Points 118.3 117.5
Total Points   235.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.1 57.7
Points From 3-Pointers 40.2 36.1
Points From Free Throws 19.0 23.8
Shooting MIN DEN
Field Goals Made 43.0 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 85.8
Field Goal % 47.5% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 37.3 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 19.0 23.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 29.5
Free Throw % 75.1% 80.8%
Ball Control MIN DEN
Rebounds 49.6 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.7
Turnovers 10.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.5
Steals 6.9 6.1
Fouls 21.5 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN DEN
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 105.6 102.8
% of Possessions with MIN DEN
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 27.5%
Player Fouled 17.9% 20.7%
Turnover 10.4% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN DEN
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 22.5%