NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN NO
Points 109.9 106.1
Total Points   216.0
Points From 2-Pointers 52.6 54.5
Points From 3-Pointers 40.0 33.2
Points From Free Throws 17.4 18.4
Shooting MIN NO
Field Goals Made 39.6 38.3
Field Goals Attempted 82.8 85.2
Field Goal % 47.9% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.0 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 35.8 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 17.4 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 23.7
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.4%
Ball Control MIN NO
Rebounds 47.8 47.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 11.5
Turnovers 13.6 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.8 3.9
Steals 6.4 7.7
Fouls 16.8 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN NO
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 96.1 98.7
% of Possessions with MIN NO
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 26.4%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.8%
Turnover 13.6% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN NO
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 23.3%