NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN DET
Points 117.8 101.8
Total Points   219.6
Points From 2-Pointers 61.8 53.0
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 30.5
Points From Free Throws 20.4 18.3
Shooting MIN DET
Field Goals Made 42.8 36.7
Field Goals Attempted 83.6 85.5
Field Goal % 51.1% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 26.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 56.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 20.4 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 23.4
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.3%
Ball Control MIN DET
Rebounds 49.1 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.4
Turnovers 12.2 14.4
Blocked Shots 6.7 3.8
Steals 8.5 6.4
Fouls 16.2 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN DET
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 98.8
% of Possessions with MIN DET
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 25.4%
Player Fouled 19.6% 16.0%
Turnover 12.0% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN DET
Shot Blocked 4.5% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 22.5%