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Minnesota at Houston
Fri Apr 10, 2026
9:30pm ET
Houston, TX
Minnesota at Houston: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Houston by 9.5, Total Points: 227.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-52-0 | 38-50-0 | |
| vs Division | 11-11-0 | 4-12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 29-35-0 | 22-36-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 22-25-0 | 18-26-0 | |
| Away | 20-27-0 | 20-24-0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/22 | Away | Portland | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 10/24 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.5 | L by 18 | -19.5 |
| 10/26 | Home | Indiana | -12.0 | W by 4 | -8.0 |
| 10/27 | Home | Denver | +6.0 | L by 13 | -7.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 11/05 | Away | New York | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 40 | +27.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | Sacramento | -4.5 | W by 27 | +22.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Sacramento | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Denver | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Dallas | -14.5 | W by 24 | +9.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Washington | -16.5 | W by 11 | -5.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Phoenix | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Sacramento | -10.5 | L by 5 | -15.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Okla City | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Boston | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | San Antonio | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | New Orleans | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | New Orleans | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | LA Clippers | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Golden State | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Sacramento | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Memphis | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Okla City | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Milwaukee | -11.5 | W by 3 | -8.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | New York | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/25 | Away | Denver | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.5 | L by 16 | -28.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 35 | +28.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | Atlanta | -5.5 | L by 24 | -29.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Miami | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 26 | +15.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 28 | +22.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Cleveland | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | San Antonio | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Houston | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | San Antonio | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Utah | -12.5 | L by 5 | -17.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | L by 5 | -14.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Golden State | -5.5 | L by 26 | -31.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Golden State | -8.5 | W by 25 | +16.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Okla City | +5.5 | W by 12 | +17.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Memphis | -11.5 | W by 17 | +5.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Memphis | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Toronto | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | New Orleans | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | LA Clippers | -8.5 | L by 19 | -27.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Atlanta | -8.5 | W by 22 | +13.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Portland | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Dallas | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.5 | L by 27 | -35.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | LA Clippers | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Denver | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Memphis | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 27 | -33.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 03/11 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.5 | L by 25 | -23.5 |
| 03/13 | Away | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 36 | +23.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Portland | -1.5 | L by 4 | -5.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | W by 10 | +20.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Houston | +1.5 | W by 2 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Home | Detroit | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 03/30 | Away | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 30 | +21.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 04/03 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Charlotte | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | -12.5 | W by 20 | +7.5 |
| 04/08 | Away | Orlando | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Houston | +9.5 | W by 4 | +13.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/18 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 04/20 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | W by 5 | +12.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Denver | -1.5 | W by 17 | +15.5 |
| 04/25 | Home | Denver | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 04/27 | Away | Denver | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 04/30 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | W by 12 | +19.5 |
| 05/04 | Away | San Antonio | +9.5 | W by 2 | +11.5 |
| 05/06 | Away | San Antonio | +10.5 | L by 38 | -27.5 |
| 05/08 | Home | San Antonio | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 05/10 | Home | San Antonio | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 05/12 | Away | San Antonio | +9.5 | L by 29 | -19.5 |
| 05/15 | Home | San Antonio | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21 | Away | Okla City | +6.5 | L by 1 | +5.5 |
| 10/24 | Home | Detroit | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -16.0 | W by 28 | +12.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Toronto | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Boston | -4.5 | W by 27 | +22.5 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 11/05 | Away | Memphis | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 11/07 | Away | San Antonio | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | Milwaukee | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Washington | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Portland | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Orlando | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Denver | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Phoenix | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Golden State | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Utah | -11.5 | W by 28 | +16.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Utah | -11.5 | L by 8 | -19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Sacramento | -15.5 | W by 26 | +10.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Phoenix | -9.5 | W by 19 | +9.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Dallas | -6.5 | L by 13 | -19.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | LA Clippers | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Denver | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | New Orleans | -9.5 | L by 5 | -14.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Denver | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Sacramento | -12.5 | L by 1 | -13.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | LA Clippers | -7.5 | L by 20 | -27.5 |
| 12/25 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Indiana | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/01 | Away | Brooklyn | -13.5 | W by 24 | +10.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Dallas | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Portland | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Sacramento | -14.5 | L by 13 | -27.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Chicago | -12.5 | W by 6 | -6.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Minnesota | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | New Orleans | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | San Antonio | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Philadelphia | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Detroit | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | W by 9 | -2.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | San Antonio | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Atlanta | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Boston | -8.5 | L by 21 | -29.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Charlotte | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Clippers | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | LA Clippers | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | New York | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Utah | -13.5 | W by 20 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Sacramento | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | Orlando | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Miami | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Washington | -14.5 | W by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Golden State | -9.5 | L by 2 | -11.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Portland | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | San Antonio | +5.5 | L by 25 | -19.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/11 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 36 | -29.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | LA Lakers | +1.5 | L by 8 | -6.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | L by 8 | -9.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Atlanta | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Miami | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 32 | +26.5 |
| 03/31 | Home | New York | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 04/01 | Home | Milwaukee | -18.5 | W by 6 | -12.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Utah | -17.5 | W by 34 | +16.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 1 | -2.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Phoenix | -1.5 | W by 14 | +12.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Memphis | -14.5 | W by 31 | +16.5 |
| 04/18 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 04/21 | Away | LA Lakers | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 04/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 04/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.5 | W by 19 | +14.5 |
| 04/29 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 05/01 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.5 | L by 20 | -24.5 |
| HOU -9.5 | Open | -10.5 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -10.5 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 721 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Houston won the game 551 times (76.4%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 170 times (23.6%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 366-344-11 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2022-2023 NBA season there have been 795 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Houston did better against the spread, going 393-389-13 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| Open | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 04/10 08:26 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 04/10 08:09 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 07:56 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 07:51 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 07:49 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 07:16 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 01:11 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 01:09 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 12:56 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 04/10 12:49 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 04/10 12:41 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 10:34 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 08:26 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 12:29 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/10 12:09 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
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