NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN HOU
Points 111.5 111.4
Total Points   222.9
Points From 2-Pointers 56.1 61.2
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 29.8
Points From Free Throws 18.5 20.4
Shooting MIN HOU
Field Goals Made 40.3 40.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.5 89.1
Field Goal % 46.1% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 30.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 60.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 28.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 18.5 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 26.7
Free Throw % 75.1% 76.4%
Ball Control MIN HOU
Rebounds 47.4 54.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.5 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 17.2
Turnovers 12.9 13.6
Blocked Shots 5.3 5.6
Steals 7.7 7.8
Fouls 18.9 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN HOU
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 105.5
% of Possessions with MIN HOU
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 23.9%
Player Fouled 17.1% 18.6%
Turnover 12.7% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN HOU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 33.3%