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Minnesota at Phoenix
Mon Dec 9, 2019
9:00pm ET
Phoenix, AZ
Minnesota at Phoenix: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Phoenix by 3.5, Total Points: 233
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-40-2 | 35-47-2 | |
| vs Division | 10-4-2 | 8-10-0 | |
| vs Conference | 27-25-2 | 23-31-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 20-21-2 | 16-24-1 | |
| Away | 22-19-0 | 19-23-1 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
Phoenix Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 10/26 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Utah | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | San Antonio | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | Detroit | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | LA Lakers | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Okla City | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Minnesota | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Utah | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Utah | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | W by 13 | +1.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | New York | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | LA Lakers | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Golden State | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | New York | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Washington | -13.0 | W by 4 | -9.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Portland | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Dallas | -4.0 | L by 14 | -18.0 |
| 12/27 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charlotte | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Portland | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Memphis | -8.0 | L by 6 | -14.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 27 | -22.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Portland | -14.0 | W by 11 | -3.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | New Orleans | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Orlando | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Miami | +2.0 | W by 13 | +15.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Atlanta | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | W by 28 | +17.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Milwaukee | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Golden State | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Sacramento | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Dallas | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | Houston | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Denver | +8.5 | W by 10 | +18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Toronto | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Cleveland | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Away | Boston | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Charlotte | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Philadelphia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Atlanta | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | San Antonio | -12.0 | L by 2 | -14.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 25 | -27.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | New Orleans | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Cleveland | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | LA Clippers | -9.5 | L by 13 | -22.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Sacramento | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 04/20 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| PHO -3.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 1102 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Phoenix won the game 642 times (58.3%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 460 times (41.7%).
- The team like Phoenix did better against the spread, going 554-536-12 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 849 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Phoenix did better against the spread, going 427-411-11 (51.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -4.0 | -3.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/09 09:04 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:52 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/09 08:29 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:07 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:51 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:14 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:09 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 12/09 05:39 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 05:21 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 05:06 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 04:51 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 04:27 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 04:23 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/09 04:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/09 04:12 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:23 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 03:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 02:45 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 12:54 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 12:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/09 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/09 11:39 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:35 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:13 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/09 09:43 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
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