NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN POR
Points 116.1 99.7
Total Points   215.7
Points From 2-Pointers 61.4 51.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 30.9
Points From Free Throws 20.3 17.5
Shooting MIN POR
Field Goals Made 42.2 36.0
Field Goals Attempted 82.0 87.8
Field Goal % 51.4% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 51.1 57.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.1% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 20.3 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 22.0
Free Throw % 77.5% 79.4%
Ball Control MIN POR
Rebounds 49.7 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 39.1 32.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 14.3
Turnovers 13.4 14.3
Blocked Shots 7.0 3.7
Steals 8.4 7.0
Fouls 16.2 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN POR
Total Possessions 100.5
Effective Scoring Chances 97.7 100.5
% of Possessions with MIN POR
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 25.6%
Player Fouled 19.8% 16.1%
Turnover 13.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN POR
Shot Blocked 4.4% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 26.7%