NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN WAS
Points 120.5 105.2
Total Points   225.7
Points From 2-Pointers 65.3 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 33.9
Points From Free Throws 20.3 16.6
Shooting MIN WAS
Field Goals Made 44.3 38.7
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 88.8
Field Goal % 51.0% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 32.7 27.3
2 Pointers Attempted 55.9 55.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.9 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 20.3 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 21.6
Free Throw % 77.2% 76.8%
Ball Control MIN WAS
Rebounds 53.6 44.1
Rebounds - Defensive 41.9 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.1
Turnovers 13.0 13.5
Blocked Shots 7.2 4.2
Steals 7.7 6.9
Fouls 16.7 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN WAS
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 100.5
% of Possessions with MIN WAS
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 28.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 16.1%
Turnover 12.5% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN WAS
Shot Blocked 4.8% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 19.5%