NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR CHI
Points 109.6 116.8
Total Points   226.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.1 65.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.0 32.4
Points From Free Throws 17.5 19.2
Shooting POR CHI
Field Goals Made 39.5 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 87.3
Field Goal % 45.1% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 32.6
2 Pointers Attempted 50.8 56.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 36.9 31.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 17.5 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 24.0
Free Throw % 79.7% 80.1%
Ball Control POR CHI
Rebounds 47.9 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.1 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 12.2
Turnovers 14.0 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.8
Steals 6.3 8.1
Fouls 18.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR CHI
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 101.5
% of Possessions with POR CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 27.0%
Player Fouled 16.2% 18.5%
Turnover 13.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR CHI
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 26.4%