NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR BOS
Points 103.7 123.1
Total Points   226.8
Points From 2-Pointers 53.9 58.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 45.7
Points From Free Throws 14.0 18.7
Shooting POR BOS
Field Goals Made 38.9 44.6
Field Goals Attempted 94.0 87.8
Field Goal % 41.4% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.0 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 59.2 47.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 61.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 15.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.8 40.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 14.0 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 23.2
Free Throw % 79.7% 80.7%
Ball Control POR BOS
Rebounds 48.0 53.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.1 41.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 12.5
Turnovers 12.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 7.6
Steals 5.7 7.1
Fouls 17.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR BOS
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 101.8
% of Possessions with POR BOS
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 35.2%
Player Fouled 13.9% 17.2%
Turnover 12.1% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR BOS
Shot Blocked 8.7% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 27.4%