NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR LAC
Points 106.5 118.7
Total Points   225.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 63.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 34.1
Points From Free Throws 16.4 20.9
Shooting POR LAC
Field Goals Made 39.3 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 83.9
Field Goal % 43.5% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 31.9
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 60.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 31.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 16.4 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 25.0
Free Throw % 79.4% 83.5%
Ball Control POR LAC
Rebounds 47.0 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 31.7 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 15.3 11.0
Turnovers 12.7 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.7
Steals 6.7 8.0
Fouls 18.2 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR LAC
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 98.7
% of Possessions with POR LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 27.8%
Player Fouled 15.6% 18.2%
Turnover 12.7% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR LAC
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 25.9%