NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR CHA
Points 110.0 110.2
Total Points   220.2
Points From 2-Pointers 58.5 60.2
Points From 3-Pointers 36.0 33.6
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.4
Shooting POR CHA
Field Goals Made 41.3 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 84.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 20.8
Free Throw % 79.4% 78.9%
Ball Control POR CHA
Rebounds 49.9 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 9.7
Turnovers 13.8 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.2
Steals 6.5 7.4
Fouls 17.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR CHA
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 96.5
% of Possessions with POR CHA
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 29.6%
Player Fouled 15.1% 17.3%
Turnover 13.8% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR CHA
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 21.5%