NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR SAC
Points 106.6 119.1
Total Points   225.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.8 63.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 38.4
Points From Free Throws 17.7 17.7
Shooting POR SAC
Field Goals Made 38.8 44.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 87.8
Field Goal % 44.5% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 31.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 61.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.4 36.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 17.7 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 23.7
Free Throw % 79.4% 74.6%
Ball Control POR SAC
Rebounds 46.9 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 12.4
Turnovers 14.1 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.3
Steals 6.6 8.3
Fouls 18.0 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR SAC
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 102.1
% of Possessions with POR SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 31.5%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.7%
Turnover 13.8% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR SAC
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 26.5%