NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR SAC
Points 106.3 119.0
Total Points   225.3
Points From 2-Pointers 54.2 62.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 38.5
Points From Free Throws 17.8 17.6
Shooting POR SAC
Field Goals Made 38.5 44.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 87.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 31.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 61.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.8 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 23.6
Free Throw % 79.4% 74.7%
Ball Control POR SAC
Rebounds 46.9 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 12.4
Turnovers 14.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.3
Steals 6.6 8.3
Fouls 18.0 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR SAC
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 102.1
% of Possessions with POR SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.7%
Turnover 13.8% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR SAC
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 26.4%