NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR NY
Points 105.3 116.4
Total Points   221.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.5 61.3
Points From 3-Pointers 33.3 35.8
Points From Free Throws 15.6 19.3
Shooting POR NY
Field Goals Made 39.3 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 86.1
Field Goal % 44.7% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.6 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 24.8
Free Throw % 79.4% 77.9%
Ball Control POR NY
Rebounds 46.2 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 31.8 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 14.5
Turnovers 13.5 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.2
Steals 6.0 8.0
Fouls 18.2 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR NY
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 101.1
% of Possessions with POR NY
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 29.3%
Player Fouled 15.4% 18.4%
Turnover 13.6% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR NY
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 31.3%