NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR LAL
Points 109.2 120.7
Total Points   229.9
Points From 2-Pointers 58.1 67.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.2 31.9
Points From Free Throws 13.9 20.9
Shooting POR LAL
Field Goals Made 41.5 44.6
Field Goals Attempted 94.5 83.1
Field Goal % 43.9% 53.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 33.9
2 Pointers Attempted 59.8 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 63.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 29.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 27.0
Free Throw % 79.4% 77.6%
Ball Control POR LAL
Rebounds 47.9 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 8.9
Turnovers 13.2 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.2 6.0
Steals 7.4 7.6
Fouls 19.5 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR LAL
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 98.9
% of Possessions with POR LAL
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 25.7%
Player Fouled 12.7% 18.9%
Turnover 12.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR LAL
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 21.2%