NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR DAL
Points 107.1 119.6
Total Points   226.7
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 62.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.6 38.4
Points From Free Throws 16.8 19.1
Shooting POR DAL
Field Goals Made 39.4 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 86.0
Field Goal % 43.3% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 31.1
2 Pointers Attempted 58.1 49.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 62.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 16.8 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 25.2
Free Throw % 79.4% 75.6%
Ball Control POR DAL
Rebounds 49.7 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 10.7
Turnovers 13.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 6.0
Steals 6.7 7.2
Fouls 19.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR DAL
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 101.1
% of Possessions with POR DAL
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 31.9%
Player Fouled 15.3% 19.5%
Turnover 13.2% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR DAL
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 23.4%