NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR DAL
Points 110.2 121.4
Total Points   231.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 63.0
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 38.9
Points From Free Throws 17.9 19.5
Shooting POR DAL
Field Goals Made 40.2 44.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 86.6
Field Goal % 44.6% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 31.5
2 Pointers Attempted 56.7 50.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 62.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 36.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 17.9 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 25.7
Free Throw % 79.7% 75.9%
Ball Control POR DAL
Rebounds 48.7 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.3 11.1
Turnovers 13.6 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.6
Steals 6.7 7.3
Fouls 20.2 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR DAL
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 101.9
% of Possessions with POR DAL
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 31.5%
Player Fouled 15.8% 19.7%
Turnover 13.3% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR DAL
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 24.5%