NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR BK
Points 107.1 112.9
Total Points   220.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 35.6
Points From Free Throws 16.3 18.4
Shooting POR BK
Field Goals Made 39.7 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 86.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.4 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 34.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 16.3 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 24.3
Free Throw % 79.4% 76.0%
Ball Control POR BK
Rebounds 49.6 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 12.7
Turnovers 12.8 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 6.1
Steals 6.2 7.2
Fouls 18.0 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR BK
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 100.7
% of Possessions with POR BK
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 30.2%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.9%
Turnover 12.8% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR BK
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 26.6%