NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR DEN
Points 103.8 119.4
Total Points   223.3
Points From 2-Pointers 56.9 70.4
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 31.5
Points From Free Throws 17.2 17.4
Shooting POR DEN
Field Goals Made 38.4 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.2 86.6
Field Goal % 42.5% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 35.2
2 Pointers Attempted 60.5 56.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 61.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.2 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 22.7
Free Throw % 79.4% 76.8%
Ball Control POR DEN
Rebounds 46.7 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 31.8 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 11.8
Turnovers 12.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.0 6.7
Steals 6.2 7.3
Fouls 17.7 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR DEN
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 100.1
% of Possessions with POR DEN
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.2%
Player Fouled 15.4% 17.7%
Turnover 12.2% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR DEN
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 27.1%