NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR IND
Points 111.8 125.6
Total Points   237.4
Points From 2-Pointers 64.2 73.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 33.9
Points From Free Throws 20.0 18.4
Shooting POR IND
Field Goals Made 41.3 47.9
Field Goals Attempted 90.6 88.8
Field Goal % 45.6% 53.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.1 36.6
2 Pointers Attempted 63.5 56.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 64.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 20.0 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 23.7
Free Throw % 79.4% 77.8%
Ball Control POR IND
Rebounds 48.0 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 15.4 11.0
Turnovers 13.8 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 7.1
Steals 5.9 7.9
Fouls 18.3 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR IND
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 105.2 102.6
% of Possessions with POR IND
2 Point Attempt 52.1% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 27.7%
Player Fouled 17.5% 17.7%
Turnover 13.3% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR IND
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 25.2%