NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR NO
Points 104.4 117.6
Total Points   222.0
Points From 2-Pointers 53.1 65.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 33.0
Points From Free Throws 15.8 19.5
Shooting POR NO
Field Goals Made 38.4 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 84.6
Field Goal % 43.8% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 32.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.1 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.5 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 25.2
Free Throw % 79.4% 77.4%
Ball Control POR NO
Rebounds 46.1 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 11.4
Turnovers 14.2 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.5
Steals 6.0 8.7
Fouls 17.8 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR NO
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 99.5
% of Possessions with POR NO
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 27.1%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.8%
Turnover 14.2% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR NO
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 25.9%