NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR SA
Points 118.4 119.1
Total Points   237.4
Points From 2-Pointers 58.4 60.7
Points From 3-Pointers 41.9 36.6
Points From Free Throws 18.1 21.9
Shooting POR SA
Field Goals Made 43.2 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 93.3 90.4
Field Goal % 46.3% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.2 30.3
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 61.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.8 28.5
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 42.8%
Free Throws Made 18.1 21.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 26.8
Free Throw % 80.8% 81.5%
Ball Control POR SA
Rebounds 50.1 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 40.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 11.5
Turnovers 10.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.4
Steals 6.0 6.1
Fouls 19.4 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR SA
Total Possessions 105.2
Effective Scoring Chances 105.8 105.6
% of Possessions with POR SA
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 24.0%
Player Fouled 16.6% 18.4%
Turnover 10.3% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR SA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 23.0%