NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR SA
Points 108.4 115.9
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.5 34.3
Points From Free Throws 15.3 17.5
Shooting POR SA
Field Goals Made 41.1 43.5
Field Goals Attempted 93.7 87.2
Field Goal % 43.9% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 62.5 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 15.3 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 22.5
Free Throw % 79.4% 77.6%
Ball Control POR SA
Rebounds 49.2 50.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 11.5
Turnovers 13.3 14.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 7.4
Steals 8.0 7.5
Fouls 17.4 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR SA
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 104.4 100.8
% of Possessions with POR SA
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 29.2%
Player Fouled 13.9% 16.8%
Turnover 12.9% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR SA
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 24.9%