NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR PHO
Points 105.3 118.4
Total Points   223.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 64.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.7 33.4
Points From Free Throws 16.0 20.7
Shooting POR PHO
Field Goals Made 38.8 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 92.3 82.6
Field Goal % 42.1% 52.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 52.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 61.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.0 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 25.7
Free Throw % 79.4% 80.7%
Ball Control POR PHO
Rebounds 46.3 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 15.4 11.0
Turnovers 12.7 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 6.6
Steals 7.7 7.8
Fouls 19.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR PHO
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 98.1
% of Possessions with POR PHO
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 26.9%
Player Fouled 15.0% 18.8%
Turnover 12.5% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR PHO
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 26.3%