NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR PHO
Points 111.6 112.9
Total Points   224.5
Points From 2-Pointers 51.4 54.9
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 40.9
Points From Free Throws 19.7 17.1
Shooting POR PHO
Field Goals Made 39.2 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 90.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 25.7 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 51.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 40.5 38.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 19.7 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 22.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 77.3%
Ball Control POR PHO
Rebounds 53.1 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 33.1
Rebounds - Offensive 17.0 15.2
Turnovers 16.4 13.7
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.1
Steals 6.9 10.1
Fouls 17.4 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR PHO
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 103.5
% of Possessions with POR PHO
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 32.0%
Player Fouled 19.5% 17.1%
Turnover 16.0% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR PHO
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 29.7%