NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR OKC
Points 104.9 123.2
Total Points   228.2
Points From 2-Pointers 51.1 67.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.1 35.7
Points From Free Throws 17.7 20.1
Shooting POR OKC
Field Goals Made 37.6 45.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 86.1
Field Goal % 41.6% 53.0%
2 Pointers Made 25.6 33.7
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 62.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 17.7 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 24.4
Free Throw % 79.4% 82.2%
Ball Control POR OKC
Rebounds 49.0 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.9 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 16.1 9.7
Turnovers 15.5 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 7.9
Steals 6.6 8.9
Fouls 18.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR OKC
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 100.3
% of Possessions with POR OKC
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 28.2%
Player Fouled 15.4% 18.3%
Turnover 15.1% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR OKC
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 22.8%