NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS CHI
Points 118.0 114.5
Total Points   232.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 59.8
Points From 3-Pointers 49.1 37.0
Points From Free Throws 16.2 17.6
Shooting GS CHI
Field Goals Made 42.7 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.6 91.1
Field Goal % 47.2% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 46.5 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 16.4 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 44.1 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 16.2 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 22.0
Free Throw % 76.4% 80.1%
Ball Control GS CHI
Rebounds 52.5 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 12.3
Turnovers 12.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.6
Steals 5.4 6.9
Fouls 17.6 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS CHI
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 104.0
% of Possessions with GS CHI
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 37.4% 30.1%
Player Fouled 16.1% 17.3%
Turnover 12.4% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS CHI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 24.2%