NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GS CHI
Points 118.2 113.8
Total Points   232.0
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 59.9
Points From 3-Pointers 49.0 36.9
Points From Free Throws 16.2 16.9
Shooting GS CHI
Field Goals Made 42.8 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 91.6
Field Goal % 48.0% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 46.8 57.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 16.3 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 42.3 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.2 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 21.4
Free Throw % 77.7% 79.2%
Ball Control GS CHI
Rebounds 51.5 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 12.7
Turnovers 13.0 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.7
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 17.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GS CHI
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.6 104.0
% of Possessions with GS CHI
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.3% 29.6%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.7%
Turnover 12.8% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GS CHI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 24.8%